Thursday, April 24, 2014
YOLO COUNTY NEWS
99 CENTS

Five Obamacare predictions

Here are five Obamacare predictions:

1. The number of uninsured will remain very significant. One of the major reasons for passing Obamacare was that we, as the wealthiest country in the world, should not have people without health insurance. Well, the Congressional Budget Office recently predicted that within the next decade, the number of uninsured will not drop below 30 million. If true, the legislation only achieved about one-third of its goal on that front.

2. Health insurance premiums will rise. Obama said one of the great benefits of Obamacare was that families would save an average of $2,500 per year on their health care costs. In the media, and in personal communications, one hears many stories of rising premiums. The only study I’ve heard about estimated a $2,500 increase per family per year. So, early evidence indicates that Obamacare is a failure on that front.

3. People will not like it. Obamacare was presented as something that will leave the happily insured content, and provide access or an improved situation to the rest. Now we know, “If you like your doctor,” you can’t necessarily keep your doctor. At some point, there will be a poll about satisfaction with Obamacare and I’m betting the majority of those with insurance prior to the law will say they liked it better before.

4. The health care industry will receive a bailout. Apparently, it is written into the legislation that if the numbers don’t pan out, and the insurance industry takes a hit, the federal government will bail them out. Success of Obamacare relies on the younger/ healthier demographic subsidizing the older/sicker demographic. Early data suggests this will not happen. So, it is likely that the U.S. bailout culture continues.

5. Little or no improvement in inappropriate use of emergency services. The prevention of misuse of emergency rooms by uninsured was purported to be a big money-saver, and significant benefit of Obamacare. As stated above, CBO estimates 30 million uninsured will remain. Also, insured people sometimes misuse emergency services.

Only time will tell if these predictions are correct. If so, one would have to ask: Why did we do this again?

Greg Johnson
Davis

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Discussion | 19 comments

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  • SteveFebruary 21, 2014 - 6:33 am

    My family is now insured under Cover California and we have a Kaiser plan and it is the best thing that has happened to us. Obviously you don't give a crap about how people who lacked insurance suffered under the old system.

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  • February 21, 2014 - 7:49 am

    Steve, obviously you & Obama don't give a crap about people who had insurance that are now suffering under the new system. Wouldn't it have been much better and less costly to simply insure those who want it but can't afford it? It's like tearing down the house because the doorbell is broken. There's more to it than just insuring those without, it's about power & control over the people. History repeats itself. (See Germany in the early portion of the 20th Century.) What insurance plan did you have before the takeover?

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  • SteveFebruary 21, 2014 - 3:21 pm

    Do you have insurance now?

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  • February 21, 2014 - 6:22 pm

    Steve, you say because of Obamacare you and your family now have insurance. Would you care to tell us how many in your family and what your monthly cost of Kaiser is?

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  • February 21, 2014 - 9:44 pm

    I don't have insurance, I can't afford it. Did you have insurance before the Obamacare ponzi-scheme? What were your payments per month? How much were the co-payments & deductions and how much do you pay now? Why do you feel that people who point out the problems Obamacare has created for the majority of people "don't give a crap" about those who are less fortunate? Why is it not a good idea for the tax payers to insure only those who can't afford insurance and leave those who liked their plan and their Doctor alone?

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  • February 21, 2014 - 8:01 am

    Obamacare is an utter failure for most of the country. The only ones that like it are the people who now get it for free or at greatly reduced costs while the rest of us are either losing our insurance and doctor or paying greatly inflated costs.

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  • B. CarfreeFebruary 21, 2014 - 9:13 pm

    Greg Johnson must be getting his "facts" from FoxNews entertainment network; such viewers have been shown to be the least informed people in the nation, including those who don't use any news sources at all. Remember that great medical system we had before the ACA? You know, the one in which over three-quarters of all bankruptcies were medical bk's. The ACA removes those bk's from the table, at least in the state's that didn't refuse the expanded Medicaid coverage (the red, welfare states that the blue states subsidize). Now when you get too sick to work for a spell, you can stay insured. Even as your income takes a hit, you will still be able to afford insurance and you can't be dropped for a "pre-existing condition". And gee, aren't we going to miss those $5000/yr catastrophic policies that didn't really cover anything with their low lifetime caps. Oh woe are we, being dragged into the first world whether we like it or not.

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  • February 21, 2014 - 10:11 pm

    B., are certain news outlet viewers factually the least informed? Which news outlet viewers are the most informed? What is Greg Johnson wrong about? What are the real numbers? Are you saying that people who don't tell the truth should not be trusted? Remenber, if you like your Healthcare plan and your Doctor, you can keep them, Period. Nobody will take that from you, those are just false rumors, planted to make the Obama Administration look bad.

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  • February 21, 2014 - 10:44 pm

    In addition, Obamacare will save the average sized family around $2,500.00 per year.

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  • February 22, 2014 - 6:09 am

    I wonder where B. Carefree gets his/her news? That's a false statement that 75% of bankruptcies were were caused by medical bills. Maybe B. Carefree should watch Fox in order to enlighten his/herself.

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  • February 22, 2014 - 8:15 am

    Steve and B. Carfree are "Blue Team" supporters who blindly follow their Leader, no matter what he says or does. They spout off and repeat whatever the administraton says, then can't back it up with sources."Chris Stevens was killed due to Freedom of Speech. The debate is over, Global Warming is caused soley by Humans and only restrictive government policies can save us. There is no corruption at the IRS, HHS or the DOJ, not even a smidgen." Never mind what you hear on certain news broadcasts, those are simply false rumors. The real news is whatever The White House says is news. Blind loyalty is required to support Obama and his radical agenda. Who needs facts?

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  • greg johnsonFebruary 22, 2014 - 7:59 pm

    Two of these predictions are based on CBO numbers. Every single person I've heard from personally who is affected is getting an increase in their rate. The CBO says minimum wage increase to $10.10 will cause jobs to go away. Obama's economic adviser says the CBO doesn't understand economics. If your one and only source is the administration, they may disagree with many may sources BUT if you open your eyes and ears, you'll see that this thing is going south.

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  • ontFebruary 23, 2014 - 12:24 am

    So other than the usual carping, whining, and recitation of republican crapola, what is your plan to insure 25 million people? And to insure the millions of undocumented immigrants included in your total of significant number of uninsured remaining?

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  • February 23, 2014 - 6:27 am

    So we're supposed to pay for illegal immigrants health care too?

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  • ontFebruary 23, 2014 - 2:16 pm

    That would be a logical inference based on Greg Johnson's position here since he complains about people left uninsured by the ACA.

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  • greg johnsonFebruary 23, 2014 - 2:39 pm

    Good to see your posting again ONT. I thought maybe you were in a THC coma or in rehab or something. Did you just get out?

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  • greg johnsonFebruary 23, 2014 - 5:53 pm

    BTW ONT, the fact that I am pointing out a gaping hole in the ACA does not mean that I want to insure illegal aliens. It is a moral obligation to treat a person who needs treatment (as happens now at any ER and many county hospitals, etc.) but I believe we should have attacked the problem in a piecemeal way instead of trying to reinvent the wheel. Good intentions do not always give a good result.

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  • ontFebruary 23, 2014 - 11:42 pm

    Either you’re ignorant of the causes of what you call a “gaping hole” or you deliberately omitted mentioning it. One of the major reasons for “only” 25 million people being covered by the ACA is that the law specifically prohibits undocumented workers from being covered. It was by design, not a flaw in the law. Remember not that long ago republicans called the president a liar because he said the ACA didn’t cover undocumented immigrants? With the CBO confirming the president was right, and that the people screaming “liar!” are the real liars, they switch to saying “how horrible, look at the gap in coverage.” These are the mendacious fool s the president is supposed to work with.

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  • Greg JohnsonFebruary 24, 2014 - 12:52 pm

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/06/07/obamacare-leaves-millions-uninsured-heres-who-they-are/

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